Wednesday, September 30, 2009

The Centrifuges Are Spinning

Its amazing that this past June, Barack Obama metaphorically just stood on the neutrality curb as a young woman bled to death on the streets of Tehran. She had been shot in the heart while protesting an unjust election. The president certainly was distressed, as we all were, at the YouTube video of her life quickly slipping away. But the Obama administration's stance was to not interfere with the elections of a sovereign nation and potentially get in between a struggle for power, the two sides being the Ahmadinejad outlaw regime and the hundreds of thousands protesting a stolen election. The reason for the neutrality as explained by the White House, was the president’s desire to have a dialogue with Ahmadinejad concerning, among other things, Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

Needless to say, Iran has always insisted that their nuclear ambition was strictly for peaceful, energy related purposes. That any mascot of any professional sports team would arguably appear tougher, and perhaps push back harder on Iran than Obama has to this point is probably spot on. After all, and as pointed out in Obama’s “American arrogance” Strasbourg speech, the president was following a new collective multilateralism, inclusive of all of our European "peers." The “arrogance” line was an olive branch for past American sins in hopes skipping arm in arm towards worldwide peace and nuclear reduction and non-proliferation.

"In America, there is a failure to appreciate Europe's leading role in the world. Instead of celebrating your dynamic union and seeking to partner with you to meet common challenges, there have been times where America has shown arrogance and been dismissive, even derisive." President Barak Obama

Last week Obama became the first U.S. president to ever chair a United Nations Security Council meeting, and successfully guided a unanimous vote to approve Security Council Resolution 1887 regarding nuclear nonproliferation. It is the president’s born yesterday belief, and in a 1930’s Neville Chamberlain style I might opine, that a piece of paper signed by the five permanent members and such countries as Costa Rica, Uganda, Libya, and Burkina Faso (formerly known as the Republic of Upper Volta), would actually result in the elimination of nuclear weapons and rogue nation nuclear ambitions. The White House’s point paper stated:

"A revitalized commitment to work toward a world without nuclear weapons, and calls for further progress on nuclear arms reductions, urging all states to work towards the establishment of effective measures of nuclear arms reduction and disarmament."

The day before, bookended by the notable bellicose rambles of Muammar al-Gaddafi and Ahmadinejad himself, the president again took the soft, apologetic stance, never mentioning Iran’s nuclear resolve, stating:

"It would be inappropriate for me to leave without sharing with you what I feel is the main lesson or perception I have gained during this year of work, dedication and total commitment to the cause of peace through the democratization of the United Nations; the revitalization of the General Assembly; the complete abolition of nuclear weapons by the year 2020, the 75th anniversary of the dropping of atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki…"

Obama’s soft approach seemed to be in stark contrast with France’s Sarkozy, who directly warned Iran:


"I would like to say in a solemn manner to the Iranian leaders, that if they rely on a passive response from the international community in order to pursue their military nuclear program, they will be making a tragic mistake."

Was there something Sarkozy knew that the rest of us didn’t? Apparently so, and a day later, during the opening address of the G20 summit in Pittsburgh, the rest of the world learned what the United States and her closest allies, Great Britain, Germany, France, and Israel, had known for awhile, if not years. Iran, as it turned out, had a secret uranium enrichment facility hidden underground or rather in the side of a mountain near the holy city of Qom. The clear-cut goal of the facility, designed to be Israeli proof, was the production of weapons grade enriched uranium.
American intelligence had discovered the plant three years earlier, which meant that Obama had known since the day he took office, if not before. Gordon Brown referred to Iran’s defiance of IAEA international disclosure laws as a case of “serial deception.” Ahmadinejad remained defiant, initially denying the existence of the Qom facility, before finally admitting that it was there, and firing a bunch of missiles that Sunday. Sanctions, it appeared, would be inevitable. Mr. Obama would give the Iranians time – at least until the end of the year to allow inspectors into the site. The Iranians would stall, as everyone knew – especially Sarkozy.
Obama was dithering yet again, much to the French president’s ire, whose apparent anger on the stage at the G20 was induced by his belief that Mr. Obama “is incredibly naïve and grossly egotistical,” or so it’s been reported. Whether an accurate quote or not, the president has given Iran so much latitude that at this point it is only a win for Ahmadinejad. As far as sanctions go, nothing short of a gasoline blockade would do a thing to hurt the Iranians, and then they would mine the straits of Hormuz preventing oil tankers from getting in and out of the Persian Gulf, in effect blockading not only Iran, but the rest of the world as well. Iran knows that, and so does Obama. And unfortunately, as Sarkozy did in fact say, “the centrifuges are spinning.” That, my friends, is a bona fide truth.
So in light of what apparently is an inevitable Iranian march towards nuclear arms while Ahmadinejad is at the helm, which Obama has known all along because of the Qom discovery, why would the president have stood still on the sidelines, a young woman’s bloody death seared in our memory, during the Iranian farce of an election and subsequent protests? Why would the president have let the Iranian president off so easy in front of the world assembly of the United Nations, on our own turf? Why, even at the G20, would the president still not call the Iranians on the carpet when France and Great Britain were so hawkish of Iran during their respective talks? Is this yet another “peace in our time?” Chamberlain appeased Hitler in order to prevent war, and the appeasement ended up being a catalyst for the very war Britain's Prime Minister sought to avoid. Now there is the grave and present danger of allowing Ahmadinejad more time and wiggle room as was given to Hitler. The waiting game should be over, period, and hard decisions made Thursday at Geneva where diplomats of the five permanent members of the U.N. Security council are meeting with Iran's senior diplomatic negotiator.
The result and decision of what to do next should be simple: no more stalling, demand inspections immediately, and if they refuse – then additional sanctions should be imposed post haste, including a gas embargo; otherwise Iran will drag its feet as it has always done. Meanwhile the centrifuges are spinning.
In the end, what would be worse – five-dollar gas, or an Iran with nuclear capabilities and a leader that has vowed to wipe Israel off the map? Benjamin Netanyahu will not allow the centrifuges to spin much longer, and a nuclear-armed Iran would certainly result in terrorists owning a bomb in the very near future. Perhaps Obama should play a little Texas Hold ‘Em and call the little Iranian’s bluff – we have too much to lose otherwise.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Iran Gives Everyone A Nuclear Finger



Last night I watched a television special that dealt with the way our government would handle the aftermath of a limited yield nuclear terrorist attack. In the case of the fictional television scenario, terrorists detonated a ten kiloton (little less than Hiroshima) device on the mall in Washington D.C., virtually destroying every building that makes our nation's capital recognizable. If, or should I say "when" Iran has nuclear weapons, what are the chances that the outlaw Mullahs would make something available to terrorists they are already weaponizing? Worst case estimates figure they will have enough weapons grade enriched uranium within two years. Worst case! And Iran already has a missile platform to deliver a Hiroshima like device, and just thumbed their nose at us with missile tests two days ago. But how would terrorists deliver a bomb obtained from Iran? The two hour show didn't really describe the manner in which the bomb got to the mall in Washington or the method used to detonate the device, so below I've painted a picture with this blogger's blank  canvas, which you can be sure is a bona fide truth as to how one scenario could be carried out very effectively. The following is an excerpt from "Falcon on the Tower."



AUGUST 21, 2008
NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK


MARTIN DE LA VEGA disembarked from the pyrotechnics barge two hours before it was towed to the East River. His work for the time being was done. The load heavier than usual, he’d used a crane to carefully lift the last container of fireworks, part of the grand finale. Final checking the container, he had paid particular attention to one sensor attached to a shell; a sensor ultimately controlled by a pyrotechnician using a fireworks master control board. Martin was confident it would perform flawlessly, but only on his command, not the technician’s. Ensuring its wires were securely connected, he covered the sensor, protecting it from the elements, and went ashore.
When routine pyrotechnic sensors receive electrical impulses, matches on the fireworks shells are ignited, detonating lift charges and launching the pyrotechnic shells hundreds of feet into the air. This independent sensor however, did something very different. Martin would use a hand-held metal box, when opened, revealed a digital remote control that safely sent an impulse to the sensor. At exactly 10:30 PM Martin would press a button on the remote sending the desired signal. When the sensor received the command impulse it would launch the remaining shells of the grand finale, and a split second later fire a uranium bullet down a six-foot barrel hidden inside the container. The bullet would impact a uranium sphere and generator inside a tamper cover, compressing the subcritical masses together, initiating a fission reaction.
Despoina was in a van expecting her brother any moment. He was on time. Together they drove away taking the New Jersey turnpike south, stopping at a rest area. They waited. At precisely 10:30 PM her brother opened the box.

A Trip To Harrods - Forever

Welcome to my new blog - "Bona Fide Truths by Ron Clark Ball." I won't necessarily ask you to hold these truths to being "self evident," or for that matter considered pure gospel - just think of them as coming from a less visible burning bush. Our first topic - shopping at Harrods in dreary old London. The exception being that the shopping excursion described turns out to be something much, much more. Think about 24-year-old Najibullah Zazi and what can be done with hydrogen peroxide as you read this excerpt. Enjoy, and think about it. Really think about it.


MAY 26, 2008

LONDON, ENGLAND

 

"LOVE, HOLD MUMMY’S HAND,” Julie Perkins said as she tried to simultaneously keep her four-year old son in tow, balance a tray of food, and tote three full shopping bags. She adjusted the rope handholds of the bags to make room for the pint size hand.

 “Mummy needs to find a table dear,” she said under her breath as she alertly scanned the Food Hall inside Harrods. She knew when her target was spotted the window of opportunity would be very small; she wouldn’t have a moment to lose.

“Brilliant, I see one love. O’er there, near the big funny bear.” With shopping bags and her son’s tiny fingers firmly in the grasp of one hand and tray in the other, she began briskly moving toward her target. “Right away, let’s go Danny. Hold tight to Mummy.”

Her intended destination was fifty feet and a mob of afternoon shoppers away. The only vacant table in the entire Food Hall was directly below a seven-foot wooden bear located at the far opposite end from where they were. The bear was her mark.

Julie negotiated the crowd with the agility of an Olympic slalom skier. She’d honed her skills on the sidewalks of the city where she grew up, London. Toting shopping bags and darting through crowds in high heels and tight jeans was not a virtue but a necessity, otherwise “one could forget about ever getting a table or taxi,” she’d say.

She’d almost reached her goal when the mother of three toddlers spied the same free table and began her own rush, tray, bags, and all, to get there first. The race was on. Julie danced right and left, literally lifting Danny off the ground in the process. At the last second, she pivoted and blocked, putting her body and the shopping bags between the table and the competition.

“Brilliant. Here’s our table Danny, just perfect for the two of us,” Julie said loudly while setting her tray down on the prize. She affected a victorious smile at her opponent, who Julie tagged right away as a typical American tourist that could afford to go on holiday and shop at Harrods. Unable to frown or express any emotion by a face frozen from Botox, the loser simply waved her jeweled hand at Julie in disgust.

“Sit here Danny,” she said lifting her oversized white sunshades to rest on the top of her blond hair. She looked at her watch to check the time. It was just before six. There was barely enough time for a quick bite before they would have to get a move on, she reasoned. She began cutting the slice of pizza into smaller pieces with the flimsy plastic utensils. Smaller pieces would be easier for Danny, meaning a speedier exit. When they finished, she’d get her new, freshly washed and waxed Range Rover from valet and make the short drive to the salon in Chelsea for her appointment.

Fanatical when it came to her appearance, she loathed even the slightest hint of dark roots to show. So it seemed the salon, rather than the gym, had become her second home, and Donna, the salon’s owner, was doing her a big favor by coming in late at the last minute. Thank God she’d good friends that she could depend on.

 “Perfect timing,” she thought confidently.

It had been a wonderful day for Julie and Danny. She relished times just like these, when she could enjoy the benefits of a very fortunate life. She shopped with out a care in the world, spoiling herself and the love of her life, her son.

“Simply marvelous,” she thought, tickled over their station. Frankly, Julie had been overjoyed when they’d chosen Knightsbridge as their home. It suited her. A perfect place to raise a family, and London was an ideal spot for a talented surgeon as her husband. Famous people and those of means, though not so famous, lived in Knightsbridge, home to some of the most expensive real estate in the world. And those who lived there made it a point to ensure its safety and security beyond that of the remainder of London. He hung his shingle. They started a family.

“Dear lord, it’s the rest of the world that’s violent,” she’d say at cocktail parties.

London and suburbs such as Knightsbridge certainly weren’t immune to violence. She knew that all too well; the news kept her informed more than enough. In fact who could forget the London subway and bus bombings; and of course there was the crime associated with any large metropolitan area. Even in Knightsbridge, there were at times some random acts of crime such as a pickpocket here and there or a rare burglary, but generally she felt very safe. Knightsbridge residents were an eclectic mix of the wealthy that could well afford the security necessary for their enclave. The violence of Israel and Iraq was inconceivable in a community such as Knightsbridge. And security was everywhere it seemed, not just in Knightsbridge.

Alert levels and color codes that Americans seemed to live by were meaningless to her, as were the problems of the rest of the world. She didn’t believe that it was a matter of ignorant bliss, she was after all aware of terms such as “sectarian violence,” and “insurgency.” And she truly felt sorry for soldiers that had lost their lives to “IEDs” the acronym that anyone who turned on a television now knew. But that was a world away, and really not very relevant to her life here. It was real but distant reality.

“We’ve the ring of steel,” she concluded.

The “Ring of Steel,” a surveillance belt cinched around London, strategically placed to thwart terrorists or perhaps at the very least discourage them somewhat. Highways and roads providing entrée into the city had been narrowed, chicanes carved into them, forcing traffic to slow to a crawl, each vehicle and driver captured on one of the four million closed circuit television cameras throughout the UK. London had also set up roadblocks of concrete as well as closed off some streets entirely. A true steel curtain designed to protect. Provide security. There was very little to worry about, she thought.

Content in those thoughts she cut another small piece of cheese pizza from the slice on her paper plate and put it on Danny’s napkin. He grabbed the piece with his left hand and stuffed it in his mouth, all the while maneuvering a thirty-second scale model F-16 fighter jet on the tabletop with his right.

 “Oh Danny, behave and please be careful dear. You’ll drop that on your trousers,” Julie said as she reached for the messy hand holding his toy. He raced his jet across the edge of the tray and onto the remnants of pizza. She checked her watch again. It was 6:00 PM on the nose.

“Danny dear, do you think we should give Donna a quick ring an’ let her know that we’re running late?” She asked rhetorically.

“Dunno mummy,” he said with a shrug of his shoulders. 

Julie looked under Danny’s chair for her handbag. The cellular was in there somewhere, she thought. Picking up the designer bag and putting it in her lap, she fumbled blindly with her left hand, careful not to break a nail in the process. She soon felt the thin, now familiar shape of her new phone. Handling the gadget with the dexterity of a card shark, in spite of her long fingernails, she opened the face with her left thumb and punched “contacts” to search for Donna’s number. She looked at her son. “You’re a handsome devil, my dear sweet thing,” she told him.

“Huh?” Danny answered without really hearing her. He’d been transfixed by a young man in Hip-Hop clothing, passing by their table. The man was holding his head down, hiding under his ball cap.

“Danny, hurry now an’ finish. We shouldn’t keep Donna waiting love,” Julie cajoled her son, while she punched in the letter “D,” jumping to Donna’s number. It seemed she was finally getting the hang of her new phone but her nails still caused a bit of a problem now and then. “It’s the keypad – it’s so bloody tiny,” She thought. She pushed the center button to start the call.

“Bloody hell, did it again,” Julie said to herself, realizing after several seconds, the call had failed. She had a good signal though, so she tried once again.

Still holding the phone near her face, she noticed the tall young man directly in her line of sight. She peered at him over the top of her phone. She considered the man. “Something unusual about him,” she thought.

Standing just a few feet in back of Danny’s chair, he was wearing a large coat that draped to his knees. She reasoned the young man’s clothes as nothing out of the ordinary; she was savvy to fashion statements and Hip-Hop was a trend that seemed to live on. Kids loved the oversized, layered look.  A walking advertisement, he had “the look from head to toe; ball-cap, and “high water” pant legs hemmed at the calves,” she thought.

But what really got her attention were his gestures. His hands moving inside the coat, he was violently pulling or perhaps tugging on something. Another thing struck her as being odd about the man; Julie thought she could hear him saying something, repeating some phrase. She strained her ears to isolate his words over the loud racket of the Food Hall.

“What’s he bloody saying?” She wondered. “That can’t be right,” she thought. “Something like ‘Allah - something or other.’”

His eyes suddenly caught hers and for a split second the two were locked in each other’s gaze. Despair and contentment met and were linked for but a brief moment in time. She freed her stare from the young man’s to mind Danny. He was pulling cheese and pizza sauce off the wheels of the toy jet, stuffing the tasty mess in his mouth with small fingers. The sight made her laugh. And then she smiled one last loving time at her son. Without warning, a blinding flash instantly propelled them into eternity.

 

 

                                                                        *  *  *  *  *

 

 

The bomb was actually two bombs in one. The first part being the “Shaheed Belt,” or Martyr Belt, which looked more like a small flak jacket and was filled with acetone peroxide, a favorite of Hamas and Hezbollah suicide bombers. The ingredients could easily be purchased from drug stores without raising the slightest suspicion.

The concoction consisted of hydrogen peroxide, a common ingredient used for bleaching hair, plus acetone as the necessary electrolyte, found in most nail polish. Once cooked and cooled, the result was a volatile gel-like explosive. Unlike C4 and other plastic explosives, acetone peroxide couldn’t be detected by bomb sniffing dogs. Making the explosive was an extremely dangerous process, one that had resulted in the accidental death of many inexperienced bomb makers.

The expert bomb maker in this case though, had not stopped at the belt. The second part to the lethal device was the “Shaheed Coat.” The bomber’s overcoat was literally plated with fifteen pounds of much more powerful ammonal, or common ammonia nitrate mixed with coal and aluminum powder, which could easily be detonated by the acetone peroxide in the belt.

With at least twenty pounds of highly explosive material surrounding the body of the suicide bomber, maximum lethal damage was guaranteed up to twenty-five feet from detonation. Yet most of the carnage would result from the shrapnel that sprayed throughout the fragmentation zone, impacting shoppers two hundred feet away.

Inside the oversized coat, the bomb maker had placed an additional ten pounds of ball bearings, screws, nuts, washers, and small pieces of wire that would be fired throughout the entire Food Hall in all directions. Literally hundreds and hundreds of deadly projectiles, as if blasted from a dozen shotguns, at unsuspecting, innocent women and children. He’d completed his guise by dressing in Hip-Hop attire. He applied makeup to cover a severe rash that’d spread across his face, pulling a ball cap to further hide the malady. He went to Harrods.

When in place, the bomber reached into the left hand pocket of his coat and depressed the red trigger. The detonator button, powered by a single AA battery, lit a small light bulb hidden in the “fragmentation jacket,” instantly heating a tiny wire coated with the acetone peroxide, detonating the belt. That took hundredths of a second. One hundredth of a second later the coat exploded. The shrapnel, plus the martyr’s flesh and bone hurdled in all directions, his blood a microscopic aerosol mist.

Within fifteen feet of detonation epicenter, the air was immediately heated to three thousand degrees Fahrenheit, obliterating all within that radius. Everything else within fifty feet of the blast that was not nailed or bolted down; tables, chairs, food trays, people, was picked up and either ripped to shreds or sent flying down the main hall, where hundreds of shoppers, mostly mothers and children were dining. The crowd was delivered a thousand pieces of molten shrapnel at better than the speed of sound. What had been a gleeful shopping atmosphere became a fiery hell.

Then, what could only be described as macabre irony, heat from the intensity of the blast set off all sprinkler heads high above in on the ceiling. Even though the after-blast had left little remnants of fire, gallons upon gallons of water now showered down upon the carnage below, where pieces of furniture, body parts, blood, shopping bags, clothing, and personal electronic devices were strewn everywhere. The scene was a grotesque red soup of death and destruction.